Indonesia’s Economic and Capital Market Development May 2019 Economic and Analysis Unit Research Division www.idx.co.id Indonesia Stock Exchange @indonesiastockexchange @IDX_BEI Indonesia Stock Exchange Mount Rinjani, Lombok, Source: https://lastmanonthetrail.com/tag/gunung/ 01 Picture by: freepik.com Global Economic Updates Global Economic Trend Markit Manufacturing PMI Global Commodities & US Dollar Index GSCI Index 64 U.S. China Japan ASEAN EM EU Global Indonesia US Dollar Index 500.00 104.00 475.00 101.00 450.00 98.00 425.00 95.00 56 400.00 92.00 54 375.00 350.00 Global Interest Rate Trend Apr-19 Mar-19 Jan-19 Feb-19 Dec-18 Nov-18 Oct-18 Sep-18 May-18 Apr-18 Mar-18 Feb-18 Jan-18 Dec-17 Nov-17 Oct-17 Sep-17 Aug-17 80.00 Apr-17 Apr-19 Mar-19 Feb-19 Jan-19 Dec-18 Nov-18 Oct-18 Sep-18 Aug-18 Jun-18 May-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 48 83.00 300.00 Jul-17 50 86.00 DXY Curncy (97.48) 325.00 Jun-17 Expansion threshold May-17 52 89.00 SPGSCI Index (446.45) Aug-18 58 Jul-18 60 Jun-18 62 US Indicators: S&P 500 and US Gov Bond Yield 10Y 7.00 US Govt Bond 10 Year S&P Index 6.00 3000 3.5 2800 3 2600 2.5 2400 2 5.00 1.00 SPX Index (2945.83) 2200 Apr-19 Mar-19 Jan-19 Feb-19 Dec-18 Nov-18 Oct-18 Sep-18 Aug-18 Apr-18 Mar-18 Feb-18 Jan-18 Dec-17 Nov-17 Oct-17 Sep-17 Aug-17 Jul-17 Apr-19 Mar-19 Feb-19 Dec-18 Jan-19 Indonesia Jun-17 Japan Nov-18 Oct-18 Sep-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jun-18 Apr-18 Mar-18 May-18 India 1.5 1 May-17 China Feb-18 Jan-18 Dec-17 Nov-17 Oct-17 Aug-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 EU USGG10YR Index (2.50) 2000 Apr-17 US Jun-17 May-17 Apr-17 0.00 Jul-18 2.00 Jun-18 3.00 May-18 4.00 3 World Net Flow of Equities and Bonds As of 30 April 2019 (YTD) Equity (USD Million) Bond (USD Million) India 113,298.90 Euro Area 9,767.3 South Korea 6,787.18 Indonesia 64,708.00 58,287.10 4,584.28 United States Japan Turkey 891.00 8,384.79 South Korea Philippines 816.60 8,181.80 Brazil Brazil Thailand Euro Area 720.35 -300.65 Japan United States 4,583.81 146.15 560.3 -696.90 -486.38 -41,873.00 -2,067.00 -49,769.50 Note : ‘Blue Bar’ : Inflow ‘Red Bar’ : Outflow Source : Bloomberg, based on data availability Indonesia Philippines India Thailand Turkey *Latest data available 4 Global Commodities and Currencies As of 30 April 2019 (YTD) Commodity Currency Oil : WTI 40.99% Oil : Brent 39.46% Nickel 13.88% Copper 8.30% Aluminum 4.61% Steel Billet F.E 3.37% Rice 2.19% Tin 0.97% Gold 0.21% MDEX : CPO -1.54% Cocoa -2.03% Silver -2.80% Soybean -4.70% Corn -5.93% Coal Wheat Natural Gas Source: Bloomberg -14.33% -18.18% -20.31% Russian Ruble Mexican Peso GB Poundsterling Chinese Yuan Thailand Baht Canadian Dollar Philippine Peso South African Rand Indonesian Rupiah Colombian Peso Indian Rupee Malaysian Ringgit Singapore Dollar Hong Kong Dollar Taiwan Dollar Japanese Yen Brazilian Real Euro Swiss Franc Romanian Leu South Korean Won Swedish Krona Turkish Lira -11.61% 7.63% 3.76% 2.62% 2.13% 2.01% 1.87% 1.41% 0.94% 0.92% 0.66% 0.53% 0.47% 0.40% -0.18% -0.69% -1.03% -1.09% -2.00% -3.40% -4.01% -4.48% -5.19% 5 Current Global Issues Source: Cartoonmovement, Global Research, Laprogressive, The Spectator 6 02 Picture by: freepik.com Indonesia’s Economic Updates INDONESIA AT A GLANCE MASSIVE ECONOMY GDP Nominal1 IMPRESSIVE OUTLOOK Indonesia’s economy rank (GDP to PPP)3 USD 1.04 Tn 1st 6th in ASEAN in Asia #4 #5 Approximately equivalent to three ASEAN countries #9 USD10.50 T USD5.42 T USD3.03 T Population2 265 Mn 1st 3rd in ASEAN in Asia 1 CEIC 4Credit 2 BPS 5Stock (2018) (2018) 3PwC analysis for projections to 2050 PROSPECTIVE CAPITAL MARKET Equity Issuers4 ±628 • This number is relatively smaller than the total potential listed companies in Indonesia: • ±120 SOEs, ±750 subsidiaries • ±26 millions SMEs • ±104,000 ltd./inc as bank-loan receivers • The 2nd lowest among ASEAN-5 countries Investors5 2016 2030 2050 Replacing Germany, surpassing Rusia and Brazil Replacing Japan Burau, Bank Indonesia (Dec 2015), Ministry of SOE (2015), Economic Census (2016) Exchange Annual Report, World Bank Global Findex (2017) ±900,000 • Significantly lower than number of bank saving account (±90 million accounts) • Less than 1% of population (relatively low among ASEAN countries); 8 Global Perception Investment Grade S&P (BBB-) Moody’s (Baa2) Fitch (BBB)* *Reaffirmed in Mar 2019 46th 63rd 1World 2World Bank (Logistic Performance Index for 2018; 160 countries) Bank (Ease of Doing Business Index for 2019; 190 countries) 3The 4US 73rd Improvement in Ease of Doing Business (EODB) 91st for the past two years2 Improvement in Logistic Performance Index (LPI)1 Economist – Asia Business Outlook Survey 2017 News – Best Countries to Invest In, 2018 3rd 2 World’s best country nd to invest in4 Top destination for attracting investors3 9 Economic Highlights April 2019 +5.07% Real Economic Growth Q1-19 (yoy) +2.83% (yoy) Headline Inflation 2019 Target: 3.5%±1% Trade Surplus/Deficit (Jan-Mar 19) Jan-Mar 18: USD0,31 bn Source: Bank Indonesia, Statistics Indonesia 14,215 IDR/USD Q1-18: -2.43% (ytd) Q1-18 GDP: 5.06% (yoy) -USD0.19 bn 1,84% (ytd) 6.00% BI 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate 2018: 6 hikes 2019: no hike -2.60% (of GDP) USD124.29 bn Q1-18: -2% (of GDP) 3.02% (ytd); -0.49% (yoy) Current Account Deficit Q1-19 Foreign Reserve 10 GDP Growth and Composition by Expenditure Real Economic Growth (yoy) 8 Average Growth 2009-2019 = 5.4% 6.38% 7 6.18% 6.03% 6 5 5.56% 5.01% 4.71% 5.02% 4.88% 5.17% 5.07% 5.07% 4 3 2 1 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2009 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2010 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2011 Q3 Q4 Q1 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2013 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2014 2015 Growth (%yoy) Component 2016 III IV II 2018 III Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2016 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2017 Q3 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Composition (%) 2017 I Q3 IV I II 2019 III IV I Consumption Expenditure (CE) 3.99 3.43 4.77 4.14 4.77 4.79 4.79 5.22 5.22 5.10 CE: Household CE: Non-Profit Institutions CE: Government 5.01 6.67 -2.95 4.99 6.75 -4.03 4.94 8.07 2.69 4.95 8.52 -1.92 4.93 6.02 3.48 4.97 5.24 3.81 4.95 8.09 2.71 5.14 8.71 5.21 5.00 8.59 6.27 5.08 5.01 10.79 16.93 4.56 5.21 Gross Fixed Capital Formation 4.24 4.79 4.77 5.34 7.08 7.27 7.95 5.86 6.96 6.01 5.03 Export of Goods and Services -5.75 4.15 8.41 2.80 17.01 8.5 6.1 7.63 8.08 4.33 -2.08 Import of Goods and Services GDP Growth -4.13 5.01 2.72 4.94 4.81 5.01 0.20 5.01 15.46 11.81 12.75 15.26 14.02 5.06 5.19 5.06 5.27 5.17 7.10 5.18 -7.75 5.07 5.25 Gross Fixed Capital Formation 34% CE: Government 6% Net Export 2% CE: Household 57% CE: NonProfit Institutions 1% 11 GDP Growth and Composition by Sectors Growth (%, yoy) Composition (%, yoy) Q1-2019 Q1-2018 Business Services Other Services 8.4 Information & Communication 7.8 Water Supply;Sewerage, Waste & Recycling Mgt 7.3 4.2 Public Admin, Defense & Social Security 5.9 Accommodation & Food Beverages Activity (AFB) 5.9 5.2 Education Services Wholesales and Retail Trade, Repairs (WR) 5.3 5.0 Transportation & Storage (TS) 5.3 Others, 15.05% Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (AFF), 12.65% 8.6 Wholesales and Retail Trade, Repairs (WR), 13.20% Manufacturing Industry (Mfg), 20.07% 4.1 3.3 Manufacturing Industry (Mfg) Source: Statistics Indonesia Financial & Insurance Activity (FI), 4.34% 5.5 3.2 Electricity & Gas Supply (EG) Education Services, 3.16% 7.4 5.6 4.8 Real Estate Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (AFF) Construction, 10.76% 6.4 5.8 Construction Transportation & Storage (TS), 5.52% Mining & Quarrying (MQ), 7.77% Information & Communication, 3.92% Public Admin, Defense & Social Security, 3.56% 8.6 6.1 Financial & Insurance Activity (FI) 10.0 9.0 9.0 3.6 Human Health & Social Work Activity Mining & Quarrying (MQ) 10.4 8.0 3.9 4.6 1.1 2.3 1.8 Others: Education Services; Real Estate; Business Services; Other Services; Human Health & Social Work Activity; Electricity & Gas Supply (EG); Water Supply; Sewerage, Waste & Recycling Mgt 3.3 12 Key Macroeconomic Indicators Inflation (yoy) Exchange Rate & Foreign Reserves 12 CPI Headline (2.83%) Core (3.05%) 10 16,000 Administered (3.17%) 8 Foreign Reserve (USD Bn) USD/IDR Volatile Good (2.05%) 124.29 15,000 6 2 80 60 13,000 40 0 12,000 -2 2018 20 Apr-17 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 800 700 600 FDI Realization 400 300 2 200 100 Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sept Aug Jul 0 Jun Jan-19 Apr-19 DDI Realization 500 4 May Oct-18 IDR Trillion 6 Apr Jul-18 Foreign & Domestic Direct Investment BI 7-Day Repo Rate (6%) Deposit Insurance Rate in IDR (7%) Deposit Insurance Rate in USD (2.25%) 2018 Apr-18 2019 Interest Rate (%) 8 120 14,215 100 14,000 4 140 76.00 176.60 128.10 156.13 351.14 307.00 179.50 216.23 92.18 237.54 365.90 396.60 262.30 328.60 430.50 392.70 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2019 Source: Bank Indonesia (BI), Statistics Indonesia (BPS), Indonesia Deposit Insurance Corporation (LPS), Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM) 2016 2017 2018 76.35 87.20 108.90 107.90 Jan-Mar Jan-Mar '18 '19 13 Domestic Indicators Production Indicators (%) Consumption Indicators Motor-Vehicle Sales (growth, %) 20% 0% -20% Car Sales -40% Source : Bloomberg Mar-19 Nov-18 Jul-18 Mar-18 Nov-17 Jul-17 Mar-17 Nov-16 Jul-16 Mar-16 Nov-15 Jul-15 Mar-15 -60% Oct-18 Apr-19 Mar-19 40% Sep-18 Motorcycle Sales 60% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% Mar-15 100% 80% Apr-18 Cement Consumption (growth, %) Mar-18 Oct-18 Sep-17 Apr-18 Mar-17 Oct-17 Sep-16 Apr-17 Mar-16 Oct-16 -10 Apr-19 Sep-15 45 Apr-16 Consumer Survey Oct-17 0 Apr-17 50 Oct-16 10 Retail Sales Survey Apr-16 55 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% Oct-15 20 Apr-15 60 Oct-14 Industrial production Apr-14 Manufacturing PMI 14 Current Account Balance and Rupiah Movement Capital and Financial Account Current Account Balance of Payment 10,052.69 20,000 15,000 10,000 2,419.39 5,000 0 Balance of Payment (USD Million) -6,966.00 -5,000 -10,000 -15,000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 CAD (% of GDP) Current Account Balance (%GDP) and IDR/USD 2017 2018 IDR/USD CAD IDR/USD 2.00 1.00 0.00 -1.00 -2.00 -3.00 -4.00 -5.00 2019 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 -2.60 13,000 14,000 14,244 15,000 16,000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2010 Source: Statistics Indonesia, Bank Indonesia, Bloomberg 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 15 Credit Ratings Ratings Scale BBB+/Baa117 BBB/Baa2 16 BBB-/Baa3 15 BB+/Ba1 14 BB/Ba2 13 Economic crisis 1998 BB-/Ba3 12 B+/B1 11 B/B2 10 B-/B3 9 CCC+/Caa18 CCC/Caa2 7 S&P CCC-/Caa3 6 downgrades rating to CC/Ca 5 Selective R/C/Ca 4 Default but revises D/C 3 2 days later 2 1 SD/DD 0 Fitch S&P Moody's INVESTMENT GRADE S&P upgrades rating to BBB- (19 May 2017) Fitch upgrades rating to BBB- (15 Dec 2011) Moody upgrades rating to Baa3 (18 Jan 2012) Fitch upgrades rating to BBB (20 Dec 2017), reaffirmed in 13 March 2019 Moody upgrades rating to Baa2 (13 Apr 2018) 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: DJPPR – Ministry of Finance 16 Current Condition vs Past Crises IDR Depreciation (%YTD) JCI Index (IHSG) JCI is significantly higher than 1998 & 2008 6,455.35 Rupiah appreciation compared to depreciation in 1998 & 2008 1998 -197% 2008 NPL level is below the maximum threshold of 5% 1998 2008 Feb-19 Policy rate is significantly lower 60 2.59 1998 9.25 6 30.0% 2008 Q4-2018 2008 Apr-19 External Debt/GDP Slightly higher than 2008, but significantly lower than 1998 Source: Bank Indonesia, IDX, Statistics Indonesia (BPS), Ministry of Finance 1998 2.83 2008 Apr-19 Significantly higher than 1998 & 2008, ample to cover 6.8 months of import and external debt repayment 2008 116.8% 27.4% 10.27 Foreign Reserves (USD Billion) 1998 3.80 Continue to decline and allocated to productive sectors 1998 Policy Rate (%) 30.00 Government Debt/GDP (%) 100.0% 1998 Apr-19 Non-Performing Loan (NPL, %) 55.67 Apr-19 1.84% 1998 Inflation is controlled under the revised budget target 2008 -35% 1,111 256 Inflation (%YoY) 33.2% 36.2% 2008 Q4-2018 17.40 50.20 Apr-19 124.29 External Debt (Public & Private) to FX Reserve Ratio Significantly lower than 1998 crisis 8.6x 1998 3.1x 3.3x 2008 Q4-2018 17 Indonesia vs Emerging Markets April 2019 GDP Growth 2018 (%, yoy) Exchange Rate (% YTD) Argentina 17.40 Turkey 12.79 Indonesia 0.97 South Africa Russia 1.10 Russia 5.17 Brazil 1.07 South Africa 4.20 Brazil 4.08 Argentina 72.00 Turkey 24.00 -2.98 Indonesia -6.20 Current Account Deficit (% GDP) Policy Rate (%) Russia 7.03 Brazil -0.73 Turkey Indonesia South Africa 6.75 Turkey -3.51 Russia Brazil 6.50 South Africa -3.58 South Africa Indonesia 6.00 Argentina -5.00 -1.50 Indonesia 7.75 -2.60 2.83 Budget Deficit (% GDP) Russia Note: Latest data available Source: Bloomberg, Bank Indonesia 19.91 South Africa Argentina -6.82 34.88 Turkey 2.70 Turkey -0.34 Argentina 5.07 Russia 1.84 Brazil Indonesia Inflation (%, yoy) -1.76 Argentina Brazil -2.40 -2.70 -4.40 -7.10 18 Trade Balance USD Million Total Export-Import Oil and Gas Ex/Im Net Export 20,000 20000 Ex/Im Net Export 5,000 5,000 2,500 2,500 0 Mar-19* Feb-19 Jan-19 Dec-18 Nov-18 Oct-18 Sep-18 0 Aug-18 -5,000 Jul-18 -5,000 Jun-18 -2,500 May-18 0 -2,500 Apr-18 10000 Mar-18 10,000 0 Non Oil and Gas -10,000 -10000 Ex/Im Net Export 15,000 15,000 7,500 Source: Statistics Indonesia Mar-19* Feb-19 Jan-19 Dec-18 Nov-18 Oct-18 Sep-18 -15,000 Aug-18 -15,000 Jul-18 -7,500 Jun-18 -7,500 May-18 Feb-19 Jan-19 Dec-18 Nov-18 Oct-18 Sep-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Mar-19* Net Export 0 Apr-18 *Preliminary figure Import 0 Mar-18 Export Jun-18 May-18 Apr-18 -20000 Mar-18 -20,000 7,500 19 Banking Sector Highlights Feb 2019 Third Party Fund Loan +12.13% (yoy) +6.57% IDR 5,227.99 tn 23.45% Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) Above minimum threshold 8% Source: Bank Indonesia, Statistics Indonesia, latest figure 4.81% Net Interest Margin (NIM) (yoy) IDR 5,600.41 tn 94.12% Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) 2.59% Non-Performing Loan (NPL) Keep maintained under 5% 20 Banking Sector Trend Total Asset & Third Party Funds (IDR Trillion) 2017 2018 Feb-19 2,708 3,293 3,674 4,058 4,377 4,738 5,295 5,228 30.3% 29.5% 27.6% 27.6% 27.2% 27.5% 28.2% 27.8% 28.2% Consumption 48.6% 48.6% 48.2% 47.8% 47.2% 46.8% 46.9% 47.5% 46.1% Working Capital 21.1% 21.8% 24.2% 24.6% 25.5% 25.7% 24.9% 24.7% 25.7% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Feb-19 Deposit & Loan Growth 12.3% Deposit 11.6% 10.4% 7.3% Banking Ratios (%) LDR, CAR Loan 12.1% 11.8% 9.6% 7.9% 9.4% ROA, NPL 80% 8.2% 6.5% Non performing loans 60% 6.6% 40% Return on assets Note: excluding Rural Banks Source: OJK Feb-17 Aug-16 Feb-19 Feb-16 2018 Aug-15 2017 Feb-15 2016 5% 4% 2.59% 2.45% Capital adequacy ratio 23.45% 0% 2015 94.12% Loan to deposit 100% 20% 2014 Investment 3% 2% 1% 0% Feb-19 2016 Total Loan 2,200 Aug-18 2015 5,600 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb-18 2014 7,965 5,630 5,289 4,837 4,413 4,114 8,068 7,387 6,730 6,133 5,615 Third Party Funds (7.68% p.a) Aug-17 Asset (8.75% p.a) Total Loan (Rp Trillion) 21 Fiscal Updates Macroeconomic Assumption Indicatos Economic growth (%) State Budget APBN 2019 APBN 2018 Realization 5.3 5.4 5.17 Breakdown (Trillion Rupiah) A. APBN 2019 3.5 3.5 3.13 Exchange rates (IDR/USD) Oil price (USD/brl) 5.3 5.2 4.95 1,894.7 350.1 16.17% I. Domestic Revenues 2,164.7 1,893.5 350.0 16.17% 1,786.4 1,618.1 279.9 15.67% 378.3 275.4 70.0 18.52% 0.4 1.2 0.1 25.89% GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES 2,461.1 2,220.7 452.1 18.37% I. Central Government Expenditure 1,634.3 1,454.5 260.7 15.95% 1. Ministry/Agency Expenditure 855.4 847.4 128.8 15.05% 2. Non Ministry/Agency Expenditure 778.9 607.1 132.0 16.94% 826.8 766.2 191.3 23.14% 756.8 706.2 181.2 23.95% 70.0 60.0 10.1 14.41% -20.1 -87.3 -31.4 156.03% -296.0 -325.9 -102.0 -1.8 -2.2 -0.6 296.0 325.9 177.5 2. Non-tax Revenues 15,000 13,400 14,247 70 48 67.5 B. II. Transfer to the Region and Village Fund 1. Transfer to the Regions 2. Village Fund Oil lifting (thousand brl/day) Gas lifting (mboepd) 775 1.25 800 1.2 776 C. PRIMARY BALANCE D. BUDGET SURPLUS/(DEFICIT) (A-B) %Surplus/Deficit Toward GDP 1.136 E. per Mar 31 % Realization to APBN 2,165.1 II. Grant Interest rate SPN 3 months (%) st GOVERNMENT INCOME 1. Tax Inflation (%) Realization APBN 2018 BUDGET FINANCING 59.95% Note: • Green: Increasing; Red: Decreasing • No changes on State Budget 2018 Source: Ministry of Finance 22 The Economic Policy Packages Harmonizing regulations – Simplifying bureaucratic process II I 29 Sept ’15 Easing permit requirement and simplifying export proceeds requirement 9 Sept ’15 Improving national industry competitiveness XII 28 Apr’16 Improving Indonesia’s rank on Ease of Doing Business (EODB) XI 29 Mar ’16 Stimulating national economy through facilitation to SMEs and industries 24 Aug ’16 Low Cost Housing for Low-Income Communities X 7 Oct ’15 Financial services facilitation, export financing and elimination of business unnecessary burden 10 Nov’16 Roadmap for Ecommerce IV V 15 Oct ’15 Social safety net and betterment of people welfare IX 11 Feb ’16 Revising Negative investment List and improving protection for SMEs XV XIV XIII III – Ensuring law enforceability 27 Jan ’16 Accelerating electricity generation, stabilizing meat prices and improving rural –urban logistics sector XVI 15 Jun’17 Improving logistic 16 Nov ’18 Improving the competitiveness and domestic economy VIII VI 22 Oct ’15 Improving industry and investment climate through tax incentives and deregulation on sharia banking 21 Des ‘15 Resolving land acquisition disputes, intensifying domestic oil production, stimulating domestic parts and aviation industries 6 Nov ’15 Stimulating economic activities in border areas and facilitating strategic commodities availability 7 Dec ’15 VII Stimulating business activities in laborintensive industries nation-wide through incentives in the form of accelerating land certification process for individuals To improve national industry competitiveness, export and investment to generate significant economic growth Source:: Bank Indonesia 23 Progress of the Economic Policy Packages 222 Regulations to be deregulated Initially, there were 233 regulations which need to be deregulated. Based on the further assessment, 11 regulations has been revoked from deregulation process. Source: Bank Indonesia 220 Deregulations are finished As of September 26th 2018, deregulation of 220 regulation are finished (99%), compromising: 51 regulations at Presidential level and 169 regulations at Ministerial/Institutional level. Unfinished regulations: 2 regulations On Development of Business and competitiveness of National Logistics Service Providers 24 2019 Key Economic Issues Domestic World Listed companies’ financial report release General election (presidential and legislative) Policies to improve current account defisit Financial deepening Human capital development as the next government’s focus The Fed interest rate hike and global monetary tightening Projected global economy slowdown Trade tension between US and China Volatile oil price and other commodity prices Britain exit (Brexit) negotiation and implementation 25 03 Picture by: freepik.com Indonesia’s Capital Market Updates Indonesia’s Capital Market Milestone 2012 Sharia principals and trading mechanism Otoritas Jasa Keuangan Securities Investor Protection Fund 2012 2017 Margin transaction relaxation Indonesia Securities Fund IDX Incubator 2014 Lot size & tick size readjustment 2017 2014 2013 2013 New trading hours 2018 T+2 settlement New data center Special notation 2018 2015 2015 IDX Channel “Yuk Nabung Saham” LQ-45 Index Futures 2019 2019 Simplification on account registration 2016 2016 Tick size readjustment Tax amnesty program Autorejection readjustment Go public information center 27 IDX’s Achievements in 2018 Trading activities Market Development Infrastructure Development Others 8.5T All-time high Average daily turnover +220,229 New SID Investors T+2 Efficiency acceleration, and post-trade processing accuracy 386,804 x 6,689.29 All-time high average daily number of trades All-time high JCI (February 2018) 1.6 mn SID investors in capital market +57 New Listed companies Rp7,441.17 tn All-time high market capitalization (February 2018) 69 Start-ups at IDX Incubator New Data Center 3x Larger trading capacity Regulation Enhancement ISO 22301:2012 Trading, listing, and stock exchange membership Business Continuity Management System Islamic Capital Market Award 28 Indonesia’s Financial System Coordination Forum of Financial System Stability (Based on Law No. 21 of 2011) Financial Service Authority (OJK) Indonesia Deposit Insurance Corporation (LPS) Ministry of Finance Monetary policy Banking Insurance Program State treasury Payment system Non-bank Financial Institutions Settlement and Bank Failure Management Fiscal authority Bank Indonesia Macroprudential policy Capital Market 29 Indonesia Stock Exchange and its Subsidiaries PT IDX IT Credit Rating Education & Certification Investor Protection Bond Pricing Agency Media Channel Securities Financing PT IDX IT 30 IDX Organization Structure President Director Legal Corporate Secretary Director of Business Development • Research • Business Development • Business Incubation • Market Development • Sharia Capital Market Director of Listing • Listing Service and Development • Listing Group 1 • Listing Group 2 • Listing Group 3 Director of Trading and Membership • Membership Management and Monitoring • Data Service • Trading Support and Operation Corporate Strategic Management & Entities Director of Market Surveillance and Compliance Internal Audit Director of IT and Risk Management • Member Compliance • Digital Strategy and Transformation • Market Surveillance • IT Development • IT Operation (Trading & Support) Director of Finance and Human Resources • Finance & Accounting • Human Capital • General Affairs • IT Operation (Business & Office) • Risk Management 31 IDX Financial Highlights Operating Revenue (IDR bn) 1,179.20 Information services and other facilities 6% 1,354.12 1,202.34 Listing fees 14% 970.16 920.87 Transaction fees 53% Clearing fees 27% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total Asset (IDR bn) Profit for the Period (IDR bn) 7,521.94 392.04 344.80 310.65 265.99 5,367.50 2018 2014 Total Equity (IDR bn) 8,354.24 6,805.02 5,840.82 3,280.61 2,706.34 2,834.75 2014 2015 3,611.49 3,881.94 118.79 2014 Source: IDX 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 Indonesia’s Capital Market Highlights April 2019 Stock market capitalization IDR7,342.99 tn (USD516.57 bn) Exchange members 106* - Local: 76 - JV: 30 Outstanding bond Govt IDR2,504.01 tn (USD176.15 bn) Corp IDR424.75 tn (USD29.88 bn) Outstanding ABS 629 issuers 958,184 (10 new listings) Additional 105,944 (12.43% YTD) Bond & Sukuk 33 brokers (80% transaction) Products IDR12.16 tn (USD855.64 mn) IDR9.32 tn (USD655.65 mn) Stock Equity investor SID AUM ETF 117 issuers (23 new emissions) AUM REIT IDR619.80 bn (USD43.60 mn) ETF 27 Warrant 46 REIT 2 Futures (contracts) 9 ABS Infrastructure Investment Fund USD/IDR: 14,215 (BI) Source: IDX 14 1 33 Average Daily Trading and Market Capitalization 2012 – April 2019 Average Daily Trading Volume Average Daily Trading Turnover million shares IDR billion +13.77% p.a +9.38% p.a 14,456 11,953 10,568 7,827 4,284 2012 5,503 5,484 5,928 2013 2014 2015 6,238 6,006 5,764 2013 2014 2015 4,537 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 Average Daily Number of Trades Market Capitalization times IDR trillion +17.96% p.a 386,804 212,635 221,583 121,712 2012 Source: IDX 264,127 10,278 8,500 7,498 7,603 2016 2017 2018 2019 7,052 7,023 7,343 2017 2018 2019 +7.89% p.a 436,072 312,485 4,127 4,219 2012 2013 5,228 4,873 5,754 153,686 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2014 2015 2016 34 Average Daily Trading Value of All Securities IDR Billion Fixed Income Equities Govt Bond RNTH 5,763.78 2015 7,498.32 7,603.33 8,500.36 2016 2017 2018 10,277.72 Apr-19 22,603.37 2015 2016 1.15 2015 2016 21.53 13.08 2017 762.83 2018 Apr-19 Source: IDX 2016 2015 2015 2016 0.55 2017 2016 0.53 2018 Apr-19 REIT 0.51 0.27 2017 2018 Apr-19 2015 2016 0.14 2017 0.09 2018 Apr-19 4.47 2.06 2017 Apr-19 0.12 ABS 2.67 0.03 2015 2018 0.05 0.05 0.94 0.71 2.48 904.51 Right 1.98 2017 Corp Bond 1,349.10 1,320.50 1,327.55 38.61 ETF 27,613.36 15,943.65 13,820.88 14,738.75 Warrant 4.52 ETF & REIT 2018 Apr-19 2.91 1.39 0.98 2015 2016 2017 2018 Apr-19 35 Jakarta Composite Index – 10 Years 2009 – April 2019 6,355.654 6,455.352 6,194.498 5,226.947 5,296.711 4,593.008 4,316.687 4,274.177 3,703.512 3,821.992 2,534.356 1,355.408 D-08 D-09 D-10 D-11 D-12 86.98% 46.13% 3.20% 12.94% 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: IDX -0.98% D-13 D-14 -12.13% 22.29% 2013 2014 2015 D-15 D-16 D-17 15.32% 19.99% 2016 2017 -2.54% D-18 D-19 4.21% 2018 2019 36 JCI vs Major World Stock Indices April 2019 %YTD 2019 China: Shenzen China: Shanghai US Nasdaq Saudi Arabia Colombia France Ireland US: S&P500 Austria Germany Switzerland Canada Hong Kong US: Dow Jones Taiwan Australia Spain Japan South Africa Singapore UK Norway Vietnam Brazil UAE Israel Russia India South Korea Mexico Thailand Philippines Turkey Poland Indonesia Chile Qatar Malaysia Source: Bloomberg ±10 Years Period 29.98% 23.43% 22.01% 18.88% 18.68% 18.09% 17.80% 17.51% 17.08% 16.91% 15.90% 15.76% 14.91% 14.00% 12.75% 12.42% 12.07% 11.21% 10.98% 10.80% 10.26% 9.83% 9.76% 9.63% 9.38% 9.24% 8.51% 8.22% 7.96% 7.10% 7.01% 6.52% 4.54% 4.26% 4.21% 1.60% 0.76% -2.86% US Nasdaq Indonesia Philippines Russia Norway India Thailand Turkey US: S&P500 Vietnam US: Dow Jones Ireland South Africa Germany Brazil Japan Israel Taiwan Poland Chile China: Shenzen Hong Kong Mexico South Korea Saudi Arabia Singapore Malaysia Colombia Canada Austria Switzerland Australia France UAE China: Shanghai UK Qatar Spain 413.33% 376.27% 324.63% 313.11% 307.84% 304.58% 271.93% 255.18% 226.14% 210.39% 203.01% 175.48% 172.11% 156.62% 156.60% 151.24% 144.19% 138.88% 120.89% 118.27% 115.28% 106.42% 99.27% 95.97% 93.72% 93.02% 87.32% 84.84% 84.48% 83.62% 76.52% 75.40% 73.60% 69.11% 69.06% 67.30% 50.69% 4.08% Selected stock exchanges based on market capitalization ≥ USD100 billion 37 IDX vs Major World Stock Exchanges* March 2019 Listed Companies Japan Market Capitalization (USD bn) 3,665 US 23,211.05 Average Trading Value (USD mn) US 80,161.68 Hong Kong 2,346 Japan 5,608.26 China US 2,298 China 5,013.73 Japan 4,307.77 Hong Kong 8,242.57 South Korea 8,271.18 South Korea 2,215 Hong Kong Australia 2,141 India 2,156.17 Germany 1,867.31 South Korea 1,468.21 India 1,931 China 1,464 Malaysia 913 Australia 1,384.11 Singapore 742 Singapore 715.12 Thailand 708 Thailand 535.30 Indonesia Indonesia Germany Philippines 629 516 267 Source: World Federation of Exchanges (WFE) 38,369.61 22,353.60 India 4,560.15 Australia 3,350.13 Thailand 1,250.34 Singapore 756.57 516.45 Indonesia 686.60 Malaysia 409.66 Malaysia 479.17 Philippines 277.13 Philippines 131.31 *Market capitalization ≥ USD100 billion 38 MSCI Index Comparison 2009 – April 2019 (2009=100) 450 425 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Jan-09 Source: Bloomberg MSCI Indonesia USD 387.17 MSCI World USD 236.75 MSCI ASEAN USD 218.31 MSCI EM USD 189.94 MSCI BRIC USD 165.56 Mar-10 May-11 Jul-12 Sep-13 Nov-14 Jan-16 Mar-17 May-18 Apr-19 39 Market Capitalization & Trading Value by Sector April 2019 Finance (2,181 T) Trade, Services & Investment (680 T) 31.0% 9.7% Agriculture (101 T) 15.2% Market Capitalization 1.4% 31.7% 1.5% Trading Value Infrastructure, Utilities & Transportation (734 T) 8.9% 5.6% Property And Real Estate (391 T) Mining (401 T) 7.9% 10.5% 11.4% 5.7% 9.5% Basic Industry And Chemicals (667 T) 6.7% 8.8% 7.9% 20.7% 5.9% Miscellaneous Industry (413 T) Consumer Goods Industry (1,456 T) Source: IDX 40 Top 20 Market Capitalization April 2019 No. Source: IDX Code Market Capitalization (in Trillion Rp) Company % 1. BBCA Bank Central Asia Tbk. 701.74 9.56 2. BBRI Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. 533.63 7.27 3. HMSP H.M. Sampoerna Tbk. 407.11 5.54 4. TLKM Telekomunikasi Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. [S] 375.45 5.11 5. BMRI Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk. 356.89 4.86 6. UNVR Unilever Indonesia Tbk. [S] 347.17 4.73 7. ASII Astra International Tbk. [S] 308.69 4.20 8. BBNI Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. 177.24 2.41 9. GGRM Gudang Garam Tbk. 162.54 2.21 10. ICBP Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk. [S] 113.41 1.54 11. UNTR United Tractors Tbk. [S] 101.37 1.38 12. TPIA Chandra Asri Petrochemical Tbk. [S] 90.95 1.24 13. CPIN Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk. [S] 86.50 1.18 14. BDMN Bank Danamon Indonesia Tbk. 83.98 1.14 15. INTP Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk. [S] 80.99 1.10 16. SMGR Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. [S] 80.08 1.09 17. KLBF Kalbe Farma Tbk. [S] 72.42 0.99 18. BRPT Barito Pacific Tbk. [S] 71.70 0.98 19. BYAN Bayan Resources Tbk. [S] 63.33 0.86 20. SMMA Sinar Mas Multiartha Tbk. 61.77 0.84 Market Capitalization of The 20 Stocks 4,276.94 58.25 Total IDX 7,342.99 41 Capital Market vs Banking Fund Raised 241 271 295 381 410 478 674 IDR Trillion Capital Market April 2019: IDR331 Tn (10.02%, yoy) (total accumulation) Banking February 2019: IDR3,754 Tn (13.18%, yoy) (total outstanding) *) Working Capital + Investment Loan Source: IDX, OJK 29.7 19.6 48 42 1.87 123 0.58 9.0 39 10.1 16.7 18 39 39 163 46 198 69 267 59 315 48 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1.229 1,533 1,908 2,384 2,661 11.3 46 12.11 61.9 63 1.14 485 115 2015 2016 0.82 358 2,952 3,175 812 9.6 75.5 778 331 IPO 15.7 43 1.59 0.53 612 6 0.12 292 161 107 31 2017 2018 Apr-19 1.30 565 3,403 Total Fund Raised 3,821 3,754 Rights Warrant Government Bond Corporate Bond Total Loan* IDR Trillion Working Capital 880 349 2010 1,069 1,317 1,586 1,757 1,916 2,049 2,223 2,512 2,410 Investment 464 591 798 903 1,036 1,125 1,180 1,309 1,343 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Feb-19 42 Equity IPO Trend April 2019 Number of IPO 70 Number of IPO Value (IDR Tn) 32 Total Value of New Issue 28 57 60 24 50 40 31 30 22 21 20 22 6 10 12 8 19 12 23 25 31 24 23 20 37 13 18 16 12 16 10 0 4 Code Company IDR bn Sector POLI Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk. 657.44 6 Property and Real Estate 2 NATO Nusantara Properti Internasional Tbk. 206.00 9 Hospitality through subsidiaries 3 MTPS PT Meta Epsi Tbk. 200.00 7 Construction Services & Consultant 4 BEEF Estika Tata Tiara Tbk. 128.13 1 Production and distribution of processed food 5 HRME PT Menteng Heritage Realty Tbk. 125.13 9 Tourism 6 CLAY Citra Putra Realty Tbk. 93.60 9 Hospitality 7 CPRI Capri Nusa Satu Properti Tbk. 85.42 6 Property 8 JAYA Armada Berjaya Trans Tbk. 43.20 7 Land Transport & Logistic 9 COCO Wahana Interfood Nusantara Tbk. 33.26 5 Cacao & chocolate production 20.25 5 Food and beverages processing through subsidiaries Sentra Food Indonesia Tbk. Total Fund Raised 2019 2018 2017 Business Scope 1 10 FOOD 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 0 No. Source: IDX 8 1,592.45 43 Latest Equity IPO 2018 No. Code Company Business Scope 1 BRIS Bank BRISyariah Tbk. 1,337.91 Sharia Banking 2 HEAL Medikaloka Hermina Tbk. 1,300.11 Public health services (hospitals) 3 MAPA Map Aktif Adiperkasa Tbk. 897.88 Trading, including retail trading as agent or distributor 4 IPCC 835.00 Unloading activities into ship 5 SPTO Surya Pertiwi Tbk. 812.00 Sanitary products and fitting trading through subsidiaries 6 MSIN MNC Studios International Tbk. 780.00 Production House, Advertising & Talent Management 7 POLL Pollux Properti Indonesia Tbk. 767.41 Property and Real Estate 8 BTPS Bank Tabungan Pensiunan Nasional Syariah Tbk. 751.11 Sharia Banking 9 TUGU Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk. 684.44 General Insurance 664.81 Restaurant, catering, warehouse, distribution, food industry & processing Indonesia Kendaraan Terminal Tbk. 10 PZZA Sarimelati Kencana Tbk. 11 DIVA Distribusi Voucher Nusantara Tbk. 632.14 Information technology and digital services. 12 PRIM Royal Prima Tbk. 600.00 Public health services (hospitals) 13 URBN Urban Jakarta Propertindo Tbk. 432.00 Property (Apartment and Shopping Center) Developer 14 TDPM Tridomain Performance Material Tbk. 411.02 15 CITY Natura City Developments Tbk. 312.00 16 NFCX NFC Indonesia Tbk. 308.33 17 LAND Trimitra Propertindo Tbk. 301.59 18 FILM 274.63 MD Pictures Tbk. 19 DUCK Jaya Bersama Indo Tbk. 259.23 20 RISE 244.50 Jaya Sukses Makmur Sentosa Tbk. Producers of specialty materials for various industries through subsidiaries Development, Trade and Services related to Real Estate Property Information Technology, Digital and Telecommunication Services Construction industry as general contractor and developer No. Code Company IDR Billion Business Scope 29 TCPI Transcoal Pacific Tbk. 138.00 30 SAPX Satria Antaran Prima Tbk. 108.33 31 POLA Pool Advista Finance Tbk. 108.00 32 SWAT Sriwahana Adityakarta Tbk. 106.27 33 ANDI Andira Agro Tbk 100.00 Courier service, warehousing, printing services, agency and outsourcing Multifinancing, investment financing, working capital financing, sharia financing Recycled Paper Manufacturing of Corrugated Carton Sheet Plantation, agriculture and agro-industry 34 JSKY Sky Energy Indonesia Tbk. 81.30 Power plant machine industry 35 SOTS Satria Mega Kencana Tbk. 66.00 Property and tourism 36 ZONE Mega Perintis Tbk. 58.71 Retail Trading 37 SATU 58.50 Property developer, trading & services 38 CAKK Cahayaputra Asa Keramik Tbk. 50.40 Materials & Ceramic Industry 39 YELO 48.75 Services, industry, trade, tourism and transportation Kota Satu Properti Tbk. Yelooo Integra Datanet Tbk. Marine Transportation Services Property developer, building management & rental, and hospitality Pharmaceutical Industry, cotton-based industry for cosmetics and health 40 DFAM Dafam Property Indonesia Tbk. 46.00 41 KPAS Cottonindo Ariesta Tbk. 45.02 42 DEAL Dewata Freightinternational Tbk. 45.00 Freight forwarding services 43 GOOD Garudafood Putra Putri Jaya Tbk. 44.94 Food & Beverages Industry 44 LUCK 44.06 Sentral Mitra Informatika Tbk. Printing and document solution business, and IT product services Construction industry, Engineering Procurement & Construction (EPC) Wholesale, distribution & logistics service provider of fuel, lubricant, and LPG Provider of security services, cleaning, parking management 45 LCKM LCK Global Kedaton Tbk 41.60 Movie Studio 46 INPS Indah Prakasa Sentosa Tbk. 41.40 Trading, industry & services, especially in food and drink ingredients Property and Real Estate Developer, Services, & Management Trading, Services, Developer & Industry of Metal, Steel & Holo Iron 47 SOSS Shield on Service Tbk. 41.25 48 KPAL Steadfast Marine Tbk. 40.25 Ship Industry 49 NICK Charnic Capital Tbk. 40.00 Trading, services, developer and investment 50 BPTR Batavia Prosperindo Trans Tbk. 40.00 Transportation Services Super Energy Tbk. 37.20 Flaring Gas Processing & Sales, CNG Distribution & Sales 21 HKMU HK Metals Utama Tbk. 235.00 22 SKRN Superkrane Mitra Utama Tbk 210.00 Crane Rental 51 SURE 203.58 Production of ethanol, liquid carbon dioxide, dry ice and fertilizer integrated 52 TRUK Guna Timur Raya Tbk 34.50 Freight forwarding services 53 TNCA Trimuda Nuansa Citra Tbk. 30.00 Post and giro service provider, trade and transportation services 54 DIGI Arkadia Digital Media Tbk. 30.00 Web portal and multimedia content through subsidiaries 55 HELI Jaya Trishindo Tbk. 27.50 Non-scheduled commercial air transport 56 PANI Pratama Abadi Nusa Industri Tbk. 16.20 Packaging cans industry 0.00 Medicines, medicinal raw materials, medical tools & services. 23 MOLI Source: IDX IDR Billion Madusari Murni Indah Tbk. 24 NUSA Sinergi Megah Internusa Tbk. 180.00 Tourism 25 GHON Gihon Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk. 178.87 Telecommunication Support 26 MPRO Propertindo Mulia Investama Tbk. 164.18 Developer, Property & Real Estate 27 BOSS Borneo Olah Sarana Sukses Tbk. 160.00 Mining construction, processing and refining, trading and transportation 28 MGRO Mahkota Group Tbk. 158.33 Palm oil mill and plantation 57 PEHA Phapros Tbk. Total Fund Raised 15,665.27 44 Income Performance of LQ45 Companies 2018 compared to 2017 TKIM ANTM PGAS ERAA CPIN WIKA INKP SMGR UNTR PWON SRIL ICBP UNVR ADHI AKRA BMRI ASII PTPP PTBA SCMA BBRI BBCA WSBP ELSA WSKT ITMG BBNI HMSP MNCN KLBF GGRM MEDC INCO EXCL JSMR INDF ADRO BRPT BBTN TLKM INTP TPIA LPPF BSDE INDY 865.71% 540.59% 164.84% 156.18% 82.29% 52.89% 52.77% 51.04% 49.85% 39.63% 33.40% 31.49% 30.05% 24.75% 22.39% 20.56% 18.16% 13.64% 12.62% 11.94% 11.62% 10.85% 10.31% 10.19% 9.95% 9.91% 9.59% 6.85% 2.43% 1.79% 0.49% N/A N/A N/A -2.73% -3.56% -4.45% -7.17% -7.25% -17.50% -38.38% -38.43% -42.46% -67.06% -67.34% Source: IDX No Code Listed Companies 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. BBRI ASII TLKM BMRI BBCA Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. Astra International Tbk. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk. Bank Central Asia Tbk. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. BBNI HMSP UNTR UNVR INKP GGRM ADRO PGAS PTBA INDF ICBP WSKT CPIN ITMG TKIM BRPT SMGR PWON BBTN TPIA KLBF WIKA JSMR PTPP BSDE MNCN AKRA SCMA INDY SRIL INTP WSBP LPPF ERAA INCO ANTM ADHI ELSA MEDC EXCL Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. H.M. Sampoerna Tbk. United Tractors Tbk. Unilever Indonesia Tbk. Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk. Gudang Garam Tbk. Adaro Energy Tbk. Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk. Bukit Asam Tbk. Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk. Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk. Waskita Karya (Persero) Tbk. Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk. Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk. Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Tbk. Barito Pacific Tbk. Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. Pakuwon Jati Tbk. Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk. Chandra Asri Petrochemical Tbk. Kalbe Farma Tbk. Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk. Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk. PP (Persero) Tbk. Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk. Media Nusantara Citra Tbk. AKR Corporindo Tbk. Surya Citra Media Tbk. Indika Energy Tbk. Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk. Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk. Waskita Beton Precast Tbk. Matahari Department Store Tbk. Erajaya Swasembada Tbk. Vale Indonesia Tbk. Aneka Tambang Tbk. Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk. Elnusa Tbk. Medco Energi Internasional Tbk. XL Axiata Tbk. Total of 45 Listed Companies of IDX LQ45 Total IDX* N/A: the company recorded loss Profit For The Period (Trillion Rp) 31-Dec-18 31-Dec-17 32.42 29.04 27.37 23.17 26.98 32.70 25.85 21.44 25.85 23.32 15.09 13.54 11.50 9.11 8.55 7.79 6.94 5.30 5.12 4.96 4.66 4.62 4.55 3.76 3.57 3.52 3.09 2.83 2.81 2.65 2.50 2.07 2.04 1.96 1.70 1.61 1.60 1.48 1.42 1.23 1.15 1.10 1.10 0.89 0.88 0.87 0.65 0.28 (0.41) (3.30) 283.25 374.66 13.77 12.67 7.67 7.00 5.60 7.76 7.27 2.00 4.55 5.15 3.54 4.20 2.50 3.42 0.37 3.79 2.04 2.02 3.03 4.31 2.45 1.36 2.09 1.72 5.17 1.57 1.30 1.32 4.36 0.92 1.86 1.00 1.91 0.35 (0.21) 0.14 0.52 0.25 1.79 0.38 262.57 348.02 Change (%) 11.62% 18.16% -17.50% 20.56% 10.85% 9.59% 6.85% 49.85% 30.05% 52.77% 0.49% -4.45% 164.84% 12.62% -3.56% 31.49% 9.95% 82.29% 9.91% 865.71% -7.17% 51.04% 39.63% -7.25% -38.43% 1.79% 52.89% -2.73% 13.64% -67.06% 2.43% 22.39% 11.94% -67.34% 33.40% -38.38% 10.31% -42.46% 156.18% N/A 540.59% 24.75% 10.19% N/A N/A 7.87% 7.65% 45 Performance of Listed Companies 2018* compared to 2017 Dec-17 Dec-18 (IDR tn) (IDR tn) Total Assets 5,920.28 6,724.61 13.59% Total Equity 1,594.52 1,782.63 11.80% Revenues 1,828.39 2,069.29 13.18% 262.57 283.25 7.87% Dec-17 Dec-18 (IDR tn) (IDR tn) Total Assets 10,589.72 11,684.80 10.34% Total Equity 3,049.25 3,367.60 10.44% Revenues 3,545.99 3,871.04 9.17% 348.10 374.75 7.66% LQ45 Profit for The Period All Listed Companies Profit for The Period Growth Growth *) 602 companies out of 629 companies listed Source: IDX 46 Top 20 Brokerage Firms (Exchange Members) April 2019 by net adjusted working capital (April) by total trading value (January-April) No. Code Brokerage Firms IDR Trillion % of Total No. Code Brokerage Firms IDR Billion % of Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 CC YP YU MS AK RX CS KZ PD DB NI CP LG KS ZP DR CG ML BK XA Mandiri Sekuritas Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia CGS-CIMB Sekuritas Indonesia Morgan Stanley Sekuritas Indonesia UBS Sekuritas Indonesia Macquarie Sekuritas Indonesia Credit Suisse Sekuritas Indonesia CLSA Sekuritas Indonesia Indo Premier Sekuritas Deutsche Sekuritas Indonesia BNI Sekuritas Valbury Sekuritas Indonesia Trimegah Sekuritas Indonesia Tbk. Kresna Sekuritas Maybank Kim Eng Sekuritas RHB Sekuritas Indonesia Citigroup Sekuritas Indonesia Merrill Lynch Sekuritas Indonesia J.P. Morgan Sekuritas Indonesia NH Korindo Sekuritas Indonesia Total of 20 Total of IDX 202.65 71.00 70.36 66.69 60.32 59.31 53.10 51.67 48.50 46.81 43.56 40.04 33.51 33.21 32.60 31.61 31.57 31.44 29.62 27.62 1,065.19 1,644.44 19.03% 6.67% 6.61% 6.26% 5.66% 5.57% 4.99% 4.85% 4.55% 4.39% 4.09% 3.76% 3.15% 3.12% 3.06% 2.97% 2.96% 2.95% 2.78% 2.59% 64.78% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 CS YP GR BK ZP SQ KZ DR CG YU XA RX DH AK AP BQ MS FG KI FS Credit Suisse Sekuritas Indonesia Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Panin Sekuritas Tbk. J.P. Morgan Sekuritas Indonesia Maybank Kim Eng Sekuritas BCA Sekuritas CLSA Sekuritas Indonesia RHB Sekuritas Indonesia Citigroup Sekuritas Indonesia CGS-CIMB Sekuritas Indonesia NH Korindo Sekuritas Indonesia Macquarie Sekuritas Indonesia Sinarmas Sekuritas UBS Sekuritas Indonesia Pacific Sekuritas Indonesia Korea Investment and Sekuritas Indonesia Morgan Stanley Sekuritas Indonesia Nomura Sekuritas Indonesia Ciptadana Sekuritas Asia Yuanta Sekuritas Indonesia 1,137.25 1,082.94 875.40 790.96 588.03 536.89 531.85 521.84 512.02 475.50 474.41 469.33 463.76 429.89 418.68 403.31 368.86 360.17 357.63 349.16 11,147.88 20,689.36 10.20% 9.71% 7.85% 7.10% 5.27% 4.82% 4.77% 4.68% 4.59% 4.27% 4.26% 4.21% 4.16% 3.86% 3.76% 3.62% 3.31% 3.23% 3.21% 3.13% 53.88% Source: IDX Total of 20 Total of IDX 47 Foreign Investor Activities and Rupiah Movement Foreign Net Position (LHS) IDR Trillion IDR/USD (RHS) USD/IDR 90.00 8,000 64.38 70.00 53.11 50.00 9,000 10,000 Notes : Apr-19 Mar-19 Feb-19 Jan-19 2019* 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 16,000 2013 (70.00) 2012 14,215 15,000 2011 (50.00) 2010 14,000 2009 (30.00) 2008 13,000 2007 (10.00) 2006 12,000 2005 10.00 2004 11,000 2003 30.00 : Foreign Net Buying : Foreign Net Selling Source: IDX 48 Investors Composition in Equity Market Ownership Trading Activity Source: IDX, Custodian House (KSEI) 35.51% 36.21% 64.49% 63.79% 2014 45.51% 48.70% 47.83% 47.03% Domestic 54.49% 51.30% 52.17% 52.98% Foreign 2015 2016 2017 2018 Apr-19 59.42% 56.79% 63.23% 63.37% 63.03% 65.67% 40.58% 43.21% 36.77% 36.63% 36.97% 34.33% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Apr 19 Domestic Foreign 49 Equity Ownership Composition April 2019 0.39% 2.76% 6.36% 7.25% 11.22% 11.02% 12.21% 0.41% 4.49% 2.07% 8.71% 0.35% 0.80% 11.21% Foundation 5.61% 1.38% Securities Company 19.93% 23.11% 0.32% Insurance Pension Fund 0.42% 22.64% 9.84% Financial Institution Individual 17.15% Others 23.61% 47.28% Mutual Fund 31.65% Corporate 17.81% Total Source: Custodian House (KSEI) Foreign Domestic 50 Ownership Composition in Bond Market 38.21% 37.55% 39.82% 37.71% 38.33% 61.79% 62.45% 60.18% 62.29% 61.67% 2015 2016 2017 2018 Apr-19 7.46% 6.40% 7.90% 7.23% 6.98% Government Bond Foreign Domestic Foreign 92.54% 93.60% 92.10% 92.77% 93.02% Domestic Corporate Bond 2015 Source: DJPPR (Ministry of Finance), IDX 2016 2017 2018 Apr-19 51 Domestic Mutual Fund 2014 – April 2019 No. of mutual funds Asset Under Management (Rp tn) 800 2500 Asset under management (Rp tn) No. of mutual funds 700 2,099 600 2,090 1,777 500 1500 1,425 400 300 1,091 894 1000 457.51 200 100 241.57 271.97 505.39 513.01 338.75 500 0 0 2014 Source: OJK 2000 2015 2016 2017 2018 Apr-19 52 Sharia Capital Market April 2019 Performance comparison between ISSI and IDX Description Number of listed companies ISSI Trend of sharia compliance stocks IDX % (ISSI/IDX) 406 629 64.54% Market cap (IDR trillion) 3,765.83 7,342.99 51.28% Volume (million shares) 8,742.76 14,455.82 60.48% Value (IDR billion) 5,330.67 10,277.72 51.87% Frequency (x) 300,097 436,072 68.82% Source: IDX 314 312 316 318 331 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 365 399 406 2018 2019 237 2011 2017 53 Financial Literacy Index Survey in 2013 & 2016 Survey 2013 29.7% 21.8% Survey 2016 28.9% 28.3% 21.8% 17.8% 17.8% 15.8% 13.1% 10.9% 14.9% 11.0% 9.8% 7.1% 3.8% National Banking Source: OJK – Financial Literacy Survey Insurance Pension Fund Financing 4.4% Pawnbroking Capital Market Social Security Employees Administrator Social Security for Health System 54 Total Number of Active Investor 266,375 SID,266,375 as of April (YTD) SID,30, as 2019 of April 30, 2019 (YTD) Total SID : 958,184 Thousand of SID Highest no. of daily active investors: 62,016 (Jan 28, 2019) Daily 70 53.60 60 50 Annually 39.76 40 30 52.13 20.63 19.41 25.83 31.05 20 400 10 350 0 J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MA 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Thousand of SID 127.93 63.59 266 187 147 154 100 176.82 171.82 98.79 66.54 242 250 150 Monthly 309 300 200 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 - Thousand of SID 50 - 78.24 J F MAM J J A S O N D J F M AM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F M AM J J A S O N D J F MA M J J A S O N D J F M A 2014 Source: IDX 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 55 IDX Distribution Network 30 Representative Offices 420 Investment Galleries 446 IDX Channel • Ch 100 Indovision • Ch 398 First Media • Ch 101 StarHub Singapore Investment Communities Yuk Nabung Saham (YNS) National campaign for equity saving plan Investors must fill in the Power of Attorney Form and Auto Debit Form that stated auto debit date, contract period, and selected stocks. Account Opening Select Nominal Fund, Period, and Stocks Auto Debit from Personal Bank Account to Investment Account. Fund Auto Debit Purchase Orders are exercised by Brokers based on the contract. Auto Transaction Transaction Done 57 YNS Partners 58 IDX Start-up Business Development Mentorship Funding Access Program Working Space Training Development Program 1 Event From Idea to Startup 2 Idea Factory 3 6 Capital Market Curriculum Traction Paperwork Go Big! 5 4 59 69 Start-ups IDX Incubator E-Commerce Education Fintech Kendi Health IoT (Internet of Things) On Demand Service Mager 60 69 Start-ups IDX Incubator Property SaaS (Software as a Service) Lifestyle Rexion Transportation Media Logistic 61 Indonesia’s Unicorns Investor: Investor: Tencent Holdings, KKR & Co., Openspace Ventures Alibaba, Softbank, Beenos, CyberAgent, East Ventures, Indonusa Dwitama Total funding: Total funding: $3.3 billion (IDR 48.07 trillion) $2.4 billion (IDR 34.96 trillion) Investor: Expedia, Global Founders Capital, East Ventures. Total funding: $500 million (IDR7.28 trillion) Note: USD/IDR = Rp14.568 (31 December 2018) Source: Crunchbase Investor: Emtek Group, 500 Startups, GREE Ventures, Auchfan Co. Total funding: unspecified 62 04 Picture source: vectorstock.com, flaticon.com ASEAN Comparison ASEAN 5 Country Rating & 10Y Government Bond Yield Country ID S&P Moody’s Fitch BBB- Baa2 BBB 31 May 2018 13 April 2018 2 Sep 2018 Outlook Outlook Outlook Stable 31 May 2018 SG TH Stable 13 April 2018 Stable 2 Sep 2018 AAA Aaa AAA 5 Apr 2016 5 Aug 2011 21 Nov 2011 BBB+ Baa1 BBB+ 29 Nov 2011 5 Aug 2011 8 Mar 2013 10Y Government Bond Yield % Indonesia Thailand Malaysia Philippines Singapore Vietnam 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 PH Source: Various source BBB Baa2 BBB- 8 May 2014 11 Dec 2014 24 Sep 2015 Apr-19 0 Oct-18 21 Nov 2011 Apr-18 5 Aug 2011 Oct-17 15 May 2008 Apr-17 1 Oct-16 A- Apr-16 A3 Oct-15 MY A- Apr-15 2 64 ASEAN Capital Market Comparisons – Monthly Data (1/2) Market Capitalization (USD Billion) Singapore 715.12 Listed Companies Malaysia Thailand 535.30 Singapore Indonesia 516.57 Thailand Malaysia Philippines 409.66 277.13 Investor (% total population) 913 742 708 Indonesia Philippines 626 267 Malaysia Thailand 1,400,000 4.32% 1,131,041 1.67% Indonesia** 958,184 0.36% Singapore* 921,000 16.33% Philippines* 877,114 0.82% *data as of March 2019 *data as of March 2019 *data as of 2017; **data as of April 2019 Source: World Federation of Exchanges Source: World Federation of Exchanges Source: Stock Exchange Annual Report 2018 65 ASEAN Capital Market Comparisons – Monthly Data (2/2) PE Ratio (%) Daily Average (USD Million) Thailand 1,250.34 Singapore 756.57 Malaysia Philippines Indonesia (LQ45) Indonesia 19.44 18.15 686.60 Thailand Malaysia 17.41 479.17 Vietnam Philippines 20.62 131.31 Singapore *data as of March 2019 *data as of April 2019 Source: World Federation of Exchanges Source: Bloomberg 16.52 13.96 66 05 Picture source: vectorstock.com, flaticon.com Other Informations How to become an investor 1 Open a security account in a Securities Company listed in the Exchange by: Submitting a copy of personal identity card (KTP/KITAS/PASSPORT) Fill in the agreement form provided by the Securities For the list of Securities Companies, click: https://www.idx.co.id/en-us/investor/brokerage-near-you/ 2 Deposit early fund to RDI account on behalf of investor’s name. Each Securities Company sets a certain amount of deposit (starting from Rp100,000 or USD7). 3 After your account has been approved, you are ready to make a deal. For more information, visit http://yuknabungsaham.idx.co.id/mulai-investasi 68 Simplification on investor account opening NOW... KYC e-faceto-face (10 min) Send docs to Custodian House (3 min) Broker receives SID and investor account (10 min) STEP 1 STEP 2 STEP 3 STEP 4 Fill form (5 min) KYC by form (30 min) Send docs to Custodian House (3 min) Broker receives SID and investor account (10 min) Fill e-form (5 min) Send e-docs (5 min) STEP 5 Send original docs (1-7 days) Investor account activation (5 min) Investor account has activated (1 min) Investor gets the account (5 sec) STEP 6 STEP 7 STEP 8 Investor account activation (5 min) Investor account has activated (1 min) Investor gets the account (5 sec) PAST... 69 How to become a listed company Criteria Incorporated Independent Commissioner Corporate Secretary Audit Committee & Unit of Internal Audit Operational Lifetime Stock Development Board Acceleration Board* Limited Liabilities Company Limited Liabilities Company Limited Liabilities Company Business Entity V V 6 mo. of transition for medium asset company, 1 yr. of transition for small asset company V V V 6 mo. of transition for medium asset company, 1 yr. of transition for small asset company V V V 6 mo. of transition for medium asset company, 1 yr. of transition for small asset company V 36 months 12 months 1 last financial year (proven from revenue) 3 years Min. 1 year May experience loss, but should have operating & net profit in 2 years based on projection May suffer loss should have operating profit max. 6 years based on projection Min. 1 year Min. 3 years, unqualified opinion Min. 12 months, unqualified opinion Min. 1 Year, unqualified opinion Min. 3 years, unqualified opinion - Min. Equity Rp20 billion Min. 150 million shares and: • 20% from total shares, for equity < Rp500 billion • 15% from total shares, for equity Rp500 billion – Rp2 trillion • 10% from total shares, for equity > Rp2 trillion Min. 20% none ≥ 500 parties ≥ 300 parties Operating Profit Audited Financial Report Capital Requirement Net Tangible Asset* : Min. Rp100 billion Number of owned shares by non controlling & non majority shareholder Number of Shareholder Bond Main Board Min. 300 million shares and: • 20% from total shares, for equity < Rp500 billion • 15% from total shares, for equity Rp500 billion – Rp2 trillion • 10% from total shares, for equity > Rp2 trillion ≥ 1000 parties For more information, visit http://gopublic.idx.co.id/ a) b) c) Net Tangible Asset min. Rp 5 billion; or Net profit min. Rp1 billion and market capitalization min. Rp100 billion; or Revenue min. Rp40 billion and market capitalization min. Rp 200 billion *on progress 70 How to join IDX Incubator BENEFITS REQUIREMENTS Participants are individuals or group or an Indonesian legal entity Registered participants minimum 2 people (Business Person & IT Person) and maximum 4 people (Indonesian Citizen) Comfortable co-working space Meeting room Breakout Area High-Speed Internet AWS & Microsoft Azure Cloud Locker Print / Copy / Scan Coffee and Tea Corner Multipurpose Training Room Business activities are digital based The project is LIVE or ready to LIVE Participants have not participated in any incubator program Comply with our terms and conditions For more information, visit http://idxincubator.com/ 71 How to identify sharia stocks ISSI selection process by OJK Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) Reviewed every 6 months (May and Nov) Not doing any activities restricted by the sharia law Interest-debt ratio compared to total assets ≤ 45% Jakarta Islamic Index 70 (JII70) 70 sharia stocks from ISSI Non-halal income ratio of total revenue ≤ 10% Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) 30 sharia stocks from JII70 72 Special Notation Special notation stated at the end of stock’s code to increase investor protection regarding company’s financial performance. It has been implemented since December 28th, 2018. Notation Symbol Description S No sales based on latest financial report A Adverse opinion of the audited financial report M Moratorium of debt payment B Bankruptcy filing against the company E Negative equity L Late submission of financial report D Disclaimer opinion of the audited financial report 73 IDX Business Development TRADITIONAL SECURITIES (Equity, Bonds) New Products 1. Acceleration Board (Equity) 2. Infrastructure Investment Fund Primary Market 1. Electronic – Indonesia Public Offering 2. Integrated Electronic Registration Secondary Market 1. Integrated Disclosure System 2. Dual Language Disclosure System 3. T+2 Settlement Cycle 4. Special Notation DERIVATIVES MARKET New Products 1. Structured Warrants 2. IDX30 Index Future 3. Single Stock Futures 4. Indonesia Government Bond Futures (Basket) OTC MARKET & REPORTING 1. Electronic Trading Platform (Alternative Trading Market) for Bonds 2. Enhancement Centralized Trading Platform - PLTE Intermediaries 1. Additional Derivatives Exchange Members 2. Additional Derivatives Liquidity Provider Intermediaries 1. Regional Securities Company 2. Standardization of trading display Indices Additional Indices 74 End of This Document Contact us: [email protected] Heidy Ruswita Sari +6221 515015 ext.4120 Adhel Rusd +6221 515015 ext.4109 Lebih Baik! Anita K. Zonebia +6221 515015 ext.4110 Sehari Lebih Cepat, Selangkah Lebih Efisien DISCLAIMER The facts and opinions stated or expressed in this publication are for information purposes only and are not necessarily and must not be relied upon as being those of the publisher or of the institutions for which the contributing authors work. Although every care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the information contained within the publication, it should not be by any person relied upon as the basis for taking any action or making any decision. The Indonesia Stock Exchange cannot be held liable or otherwise responsible in anyway for any advice, action taken or decision made on the basis of the facts and opinions stated or expressed or stated within this publication