ABSTRACT The Construction of Mathematics Coalision Models

ADLN Perpustakaan Universitas Airlangga
ABSTRACT
The Construction of Mathematics Coalision Models between H5N1 and
Pandemic H1N1 Influenza Virus
Hariyanto
Mathematics Departement of ITS and Doctorate student in Airlangga University
Basuki Widodo
Mathematics Departement of ITS
CA Nidom
AVIAN Influenza Reseach Center - UNAIR
I. Nyoman Budiantara
Statistics Departement of ITS
The existence of genotypes of H5N1 viruses show that all novel genotype are
always found in the form of isolation in poultry and domestic birds. The H5N1 virus
adapting to humans and animals if there is a mutation in the PB2 protein amino acid
numbers 627 and 701. While, the pandemic H1N1 virus has been able to adapt to
animals and humans without mutations of 627. Both the virus have the same structure
that is independent of the other eight genes that are so very easy to happen coalition. To
understand the process of the coalition, as well as the potential for a pandemic of a new
strain have been done. The construction of a mathematical model is applied to observe
any changes in subpopulations that cause a dynamic movement and evolution genetics
of each individual of the population. The analysis of the persistence of the spread of the
H5N1 and the pandemic of H1N1 influenza virus and Super - Strain perform at each
stage of the construction of the model. The model is defined as a metric transmission, in
which it determines the spread globally and locally. It can be done by analyzing the
spread of the wave speed and the ability of the virus to transmit. The oftained results
Disertasi
KONSTRUKSI MODEL MATEMATIKA KOALISI
HARIYANTO
ADLN Perpustakaan Universitas Airlangga
show that the super virus strains against persistent changes in the spread of the pandemic
H1N1 influenza virus. However, if against persistently the spread of H5N1 influenza
virus in a stable condition.
Keywords: Mathematical Model, Influenza virus coalition, Persistence, wave speed.
Disertasi
KONSTRUKSI MODEL MATEMATIKA KOALISI
HARIYANTO
ADLN Perpustakaan Universitas Airlangga
Barang siapa menemukan ( merintis ) sesuatu yang baru dan baik
maka baginya pahala atas penemuannya dan pahala bagi orang
yang mengamalkannya ( Al- Hadits )
Disertasi
KONSTRUKSI MODEL MATEMATIKA KOALISI
HARIYANTO