Berpikir sebagai seorang ahli ekonomi 2 BERPIKIR SEBAGAI SEORANG EKONOM Ilmu ekonomi mengantarkan kita untuk : • Berpikir atas berbagai alternatif yang memungkinkan untuk ditempuh • Mengevaluasi biaya atas alternatif yang diambil baik individu maupun sosial • Melatih dan memahami bagaimana yang sesungguhnya terjadi dan isu berkaitan Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 1 AHLI EKONOMI ADALAH SEORANG ILMUWAN Ilmu Ekonomi adalah cara berpikir yang : • Melibatkan pemikiran analitik dan objective • Menggunakan metode ilmiah Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Metode Ilmiah: Observasi, Teori dan Observasi lebih lanjut • Menggunakan model (abstraksi=penyederhanaan) untuk membantu menjelaskan kompleknya kondisi yang nyata • Membangun teori, mengumpulkan dan menganalisis data untuk mengevaluasi teori kembali Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 2 Peranan Asumsi dalam mempelajari Ilmu Ekonomi • Seorang ahli ekonomi menggunakan asumsi untuk memudahkan pemahaman atas aspek yang diamati • Seni dalam berpikir secara ilmiah dalam ilmu ekonomi adalah keputusan untuk menggunakan yang mana asumsi yang digunakan. • Seorang ekonom menggunakan asumsi yang berbeda untuk menjawab masalah yang berbeda Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Economic Models • Ahli ekonomi menggunakan model untuk menyederhanakan realitas sebagai upaya memahami dunia ini dengan lebih baik. • Dua model dasar dalam ilmu ekonomi adalah : • Diagram alir sirkuler • Batas kemungkinan produksi Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 3 Model Pertama : The Circular-Flow Diagram • The circular-flow diagram is a visual model of the economy that shows how dollars flow through markets among households and firms. Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Figure 1 The Circular Flow MARKETS FOR GOODS AND SERVICES •Firms sell Goods •Households buy and services sold Revenue HOUSEHOLDS •Buy and consume goods and services •Own and sell factors of production FIRMS •Produce and sell goods and services •Hire and use factors of production Factors of production Wages, rent, and profit Spending Goods and services bought Labor, land, MARKETS and capital FOR FACTORS OF PRODUCTION •Households sell •Firms buy Income = Flow of inputs and outputs = Flow of dollars Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Copyright © 2004 South-Western 4 Our First Model: The Circular-Flow Diagram • Firms • Produce and sell goods and services • Hire and use factors of production • Households • Buy and consume goods and services • Own and sell factors of production Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Our First Model: The Circular-Flow Diagram • Markets for Goods and Services • Firms sell • Households buy • Markets for Factors of Production • Households sell • Firms buy Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 5 Our First Model: The Circular-Flow Diagram • Factors of Production • Inputs used to produce goods and services • Land, labor, and capital Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Our Second Model: The Production Possibilities Frontier • The production possibilities frontier is a graph that shows the combinations of output that the economy can possibly produce given the available factors of production and the available production technology. Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 6 Figure 2 The Production Possibilities Frontier Quantity of Computers Produced 3,000 D C 2,200 2,000 A Production possibilities frontier B 1,000 0 300 600 700 1,000 Quantity of Cars Produced Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Our Second Model: The Production Possibilities Frontier • Concepts Illustrated by the Production Possibilities Frontier • • • • Efficiency Tradeoffs Opportunity Cost Economic Growth Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 7 Figure 3 A Shift in the Production Possibilities Frontier Quantity of Computers Produced 4,000 3,000 2,100 2,000 E A Quantity of 0 700 750 1,000 Cars Produced Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Copyright © 2004 South-Western Microeconomics and Macroeconomics • Microeconomics focuses on the individual parts of the economy. • How households and firms make decisions and how they interact in specific markets • Macroeconomics looks at the economy as a whole. • Economy-wide phenomena, including inflation, unemployment, and economic growth Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 8 THE ECONOMIST AS POLICY ADVISOR • When economists are trying to explain the world, they are scientists. • When economists are trying to change the world, they are policy advisor. Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 POSITIVE VERSUS NORMATIVE ANALYSIS • Positive statements are statements that attempt to describe the world as it is. • Called descriptive analysis • Normative statements are statements about how the world should be. • Called prescriptive analysis Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 9 POSITIVE VERSUS NORMATIVE ANALYSIS • Positive or Normative Statements? ? • An increase in the minimum wage will cause a decrease in employment among the least-skilled. POSITIVE ? • Higher federal budget deficits will cause interest rates to increase. POSITIVE ? Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 POSITIVE VERSUS NORMATIVE ANALYSIS • Positive or Normative Statements? ? • Kesejahteraan masyarakat merupakan tujuan yang pokok dari pelaksanaan semua kegiatan pembangunan. NORMATIVE ? • Pabrik rokok harus mencantumkan akibat negatif pada kesehatan atas penggunaan rokok tersebut. NORMATIVE ? Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 10 WHY ECONOMISTS DISAGREE • They may disagree about the validity of alternative positive theories about how the world works. • They may have different values and, therefore, different normative views about what policy should try to accomplish. Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Summary • Economists try to address their subjects with a scientist’s objectivity. • They make appropriate assumptions and build simplified models in order to understand the world around them. • Two simple economic models are the circular-flow diagram and the production possibilities frontier. Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 11 Summary • Economics is divided into two subfields: • Microeconomists study decisionmaking by households and firms in the marketplace. • Macroeconomists study the forces and trends that affect the economy as a whole Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 Summary • A positive statement is an assertion about how the world is. • A normative statement is an assertion about how the world ought to be. • When economists make normative statements, they are acting more as policy advisors than scientists. Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 12 Summary • Economists who advise policymakers offer conflicting advice either because of differences in scientific judgments or because of differences in values. • At other times, economists are united in the advice they offer, but policymakers may choose to ignore it. Sosek Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Brawijaya, 2007 13