Sorotan Berita dan Data Riset Ekonomi Harian Kurs – Komoditas - Obligasi Samuel Research 04 Agustus 2017 Berita Global Bank of England mempertahankan suku bunga acuan tetapi memangkas proyeksi pertumbuhan serta upah. (Reuters) The Reserve Bank of India memangkas suku bunga acuan repo rate sebesar 25bps ke 6%. (Bloomberg) Initial Jobless Claims AS turun ke 240 ribu dari 244 ribu. (Bloomberg) ISM Non-Manf. Composite AS turun ke 53,9 dari 57,4 di Jul17. (Bloomberg) Berita Domestik Realisasi penerimaan bea dan cukai hingga Jul17 mencapai Rp78,7 triliun atau meningkat sebesar 7.2% YoY. (Antara) Dana desa tahap satu 2017 sebesar Rp36 triliun, atau 60% dari total pagu, sekarang sudah cair Rp35,8 triliun. (Antara) BI memproyeksikan pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia 2Q17 5,1% YoY. (Detik) BI mengonfirmasi turunnya daya beli masyarakat kelas menengah ke bawah disebabkan oleh kebijakan di bidang subsidi listrik. (Detik) Menhub Budi Karya Sumadi menyatakan pembatasan sepeda motor di Jakarta akan dilakukan secara bertahap. (Kompas) Aksi mogok buruh Jakarta International Container Terminal (JICT) membuat layanan bongkar muat pelabuhan Tanjung Priok terganggu. (Kontan) BoE lebih dovish, India pangkas suku bunga. Bank of England lebih pesimistis terhadap prospek pertumbuhan maupun upah dalam pernyataannya semalam, setelah sebelumnya The Reserve Bank of India memangkas suku bunga acuannya 25bps seiring dengan inflasi yang turun. Ditambah buruknya data ekonomi AS, yield obligasi global turun merespon sentimen tersebut hingga dini hari tadi. Fokus tertuju pada data pertambahan tenaga kerja non-pertanian AS nanti malam yang diperkirakan memburuk. Ruang penguatan rupiah kembali terbuka, pertumbuhan jadi fokus. Rupiah masih stabil walaupun kurs dollar melemah di Asia pada perdagangan Kamis. Dollar diperkirakan terus tertekan dengan sentimen positif yang diperkirakan manghampiri pasar obligasi. Ruang penguatan rupiah masih terbuka walaupun saat ini kekhawatiran perlambatan ekonomi, masih intensif – data pertumbuhan 2Q17 dirilis Senin, diperkirakan membaik ke 5,07% YoY (BI prediksi pertumbuhan PDB capai 5,1% YoY). www.samuel.co.id Page 1 of 2 Ekonomi Harian Research Team Andy Ferdinand, CFA Head Of Equity Research, Strategy, Banking, Consumer [email protected] +6221 2854 8148 Rangga Cipta Economist [email protected] +6221 2854 8396 Muhamad Makky Dandytra, CFTe Technical Analyst [email protected] +6221 2854 8382 Akhmad Nurcahyadi, CSA Auto, Aviation, Cigarette, Construction Healthcare, Heavy Equipment, Property [email protected] +6221 2854 8144 Arandi Ariantara Cement, Telecommunication, Utility [email protected] +6221 2854 8392 Marlene Tanumihardja Poultry, Retail, Small Caps [email protected] +6221 2854 8387 Sharlita Lutfiah Malik Mining, Plantation [email protected] +6221 2854 8339 Nadya Swastika Research Associate [email protected] +6221 2854 8338 Evelyn Satyono Head of PWM / Institutional Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8380 Muhamad Alfatih CSA, CTA, CFTe Senior Technical Portfolio Advisor [email protected] +6221 2854 8129 Ronny Ardianto Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8399 Clarice Wijana Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8395 Fachruly Fiater Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8325 Kelvin Long Head of Equities [email protected] +6221 2854 8150 Yulianah Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8146 Lucia Irawati Retail Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8173 R. Virine Tresna Sundari Head of Fixed Income [email protected] +6221 2854 8170 Yenny Immanuela Batubara Senior Fixed Income Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8384 Dina Afrilia Senior Fixed Income Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8309 Rudianto Nugroho Fixed Income Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8306 Nugroho Nuswantoro Head of Marketing Online Trading [email protected] +6221 2854 8372 Wahyu Widodo Marketing [email protected] +6221 2854 8371 Aben Epapras Marketing [email protected] +6221 2854 8389 Private Wealth Management Equity Sales Team Fixed Income Sales Team Online Trading Sales Team DISCLAIMERS : Analyst Certification : The views expressed in this research accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations or views in this research. The analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this research has taken reasonable care to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in making any recommendations. This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia www.samuel.co.id Page 2 of 2