DAILY REPORT Kamis 17 Desember 2015 Market View AKTIVITAS BURSA Rabu, 16 Desember 2015 Pada perdagangan Rabu 16/12/2015, Indeks Harga Saham IHSG : 4,483.453 +74.281/(1.685%) Market Volume : 7,006 Billion Shares Market Value : 5,439.055 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan Perubahan +/% Leading Movers BBRI 11.350 600 5,6% BBCA 13.475 375 2,9% BMRI 8.950 200 2,3% BBNI 5.000 210 4,4% PGAS 2.515 110 4,6% Lagging Movers SSMS 1.610 -30 -1,8% BTEK 1.400 -140 -9,1% EXCL 3.790 -30 -0,8% BOLT 1.100 -30 -2,7% AALI 16.200 -250 -1,5% TLKM 3.040 100 3,40% ASII 6.275 0 0,00% SSMS 1.610 -30 -1,83% MYRX 645 30 4,88% DILD 492 -6 -1,20% Most Active Gabungan (IHSG) menguat 74,28 poin (1,68%) dan ditutup pada level 4.483,45. Kenaikan IHSG ditopang oleh Sektor Keuangan menguat 2,75%, Sektor Infrastruktur menguat 2,37%dan Sektor Industri Dasar menguat 1,53%. Investor asing melakukan net buy sebesar Rp 300 miliar. Bursa saham AS ditutup menguat, dikarnakan keputusan Bank Sentral AS (The Fed) yang menaikan suku bunga acuan untuk pertama kalinya dalam sembilan tahun. The Fed mengumumkan kenaikan suku bunga acuan sebesar 0,25%. Keputusan menaikkan suku bunga merupakan suara bulat para pejabat The Fed, yang mengatakan kemungkinan mereka akan kembali menaikan suku bunga secara bertahap dan melihat bagaimana kondisi perekonomian AS ke depannya. Indeks Dow Jones Industrial Average menguat 224,18 poin atau 1,28% ke level 17.749,09, Indeks S&P 500 menguat 29,66 poin atau 1,45% ke level 2.073,07 dan Indeks Nasdaq Composite menguat 75,78 poin atau 1,52% ke level 5.071,13. IHSG hari ini kemungkinan akan bergerak menguat dengan rentang support 4.450 dan resistance 4.520. Today’s Pick Aksi Kode Penutupan Target Harga Top Value BOW ADHI 2.080 2.110 SB ADRO 492 510 Keterangan RSI dan stochastic uptrend. Didukung volume beli meningkat. BBRI 11.350 600 5,58% TLKM 3.040 100 3,40% ASII 6.275 0 0,00% BOW BMRI 8.950 9.100 Williams%R uptrend. Indikasikan BMRI potensi naik. BMRI 8.950 200 2,29% BOW INTP 20.500 20.650 MACD uptrend. Indikasikan INTP potensi naik terbatas. BBCA 13.475 375 2,86% BOW ITMG 5.850 6.000 Didukung volume beli meningkat. ITMG potensi naik terbatas. BOW JSMR 4.755 4.785 EMA-5 dan MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan Perubahan +/% USD 14.058 14.034 SBI 1 mo 7,50% 7,50% Deflasi MoM 0,08% 0,05% 0,03 Inflasi YoY 6,25% 6,83% 0,58 Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM 0,17 0,17 - Valuasi USD IDR 14.058 3.089 Indeks Dunia Penutupan DJIA 17.749,09 Perubahan +/% 224,18 1,28 5.071,13 75,77 1,52 Nikkei 225 19.049,91 484,01 2,61 Hangseng 21.701,21 426,84 2,01 2.840,92 25,40 0,90 Nasdaq STI Candle chart membentuk white candle. ADRO potensi naik. SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy Highlight √ Ekonomi : Indonesia tetap tumbuh di kisaran 5,3% di 2016. √ ASSA : Menyediakan belanja modal sebesar Rp 1 triliun. √ UNTR : Bikin anak usaha di sektor pembangkit listrik. √ BMRI : Luncurkan kartu kredit Mandiri World Elite . √ DILD : Mengincar marketing Rp 2,5 triliun di 2016. √ SMGR : Pabrik di Rembang akan berproduksi di 2016. Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, Liputan6, IQPlus, Bloomberg, ChartNexus. www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment Page 1 DAILY REPORT Kamis 17 Desember 2015 Economic News World Bank (Bank Dunia) memproyeksikan, pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia di tahun depan akan tetap diangka 5,3%. Naiknya belanja modal pemerintah yang hampir 50% tahun ke tahun (yoy) telah mendukung pertumbuhan ekonomi pada kuartal ketiga dan dapat semakin mempercepat pertumbuhan tahun depan jika perbaikan belanja negara terus berlanjut. Stimulus yang diberikan pemerintah melalui reformasi paket kebijakan ekonomi berjilid yang dirilis sejak Sepetember lalu, menjadi sentimen positif dalam membantu kurangi kendala dunia usaha dan mendorong investasi swasta. Bank Dunia sendiri mencatat pada kuartal tiga tahun 2015 ini, Pendapatan Domestik Bruto (PDB) riil Indonesia tumbuh 4,7%. Pertumbuhan ini dipengaruhi oleh kenaikan belanja sebesar 49,8% di sektor publik pemerintah. Baik untuk konsumsi modal atau konsumsi. PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk (ASSA) menyediakan belanja modal sebesar Rp 1 triliun. PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk (ASSA) menyediakan belanja modal sebesar Rp 1 triliun. Sekitar 90% capex digunakan untuk pembelian sekitar 4.000-5.000 armada baru. Tahun depan perusahaan ini menargetkan memiliki 20.000 armada. Sampai akhir tahun ini perusahaan sudah memiliki armada sebanyak 17.700 mobil. Jadi penambahan armada tahun depan sekitar 2300 orang. armada yang ditambang lebih banyak pada segmen MPV dan fan. Sementara itu, sekitar Rp 100 miliar capex ini akan digunakan untuk membuat kantor baru yang akan dibangun pada tanah seluas 2,3 ha. Adapun konstruksi kantor ini diperkirakan selama 2 tahun di Cakung, Jakarta Timur. PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) bikin anak usaha di sektor pembangkit listrik. PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) mendirikan anak usaha baru yang bergerak di sektor pembangkit tenaga listrik yakni PT Unitra Persada Energia (UPE) dengan modal dasar sebesar Rp 260 juta. UNTR dan anak usahanya perseroan PT Pamapersada Nusantara dengan kepemilikan masing-masing Rp 259 juta dan Rp 1 juta. Tujuan pendirian UPE sebagai bentuk ekspansi dan diversifikasi kegiatan usaha perseroan. Kegiatan usaha UPE akan meliputi kegiatan pembangkitan, penjualan, transmisi dan distribusi serta usaha-usaha lain yang terkait dengan kelistrikan. PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk (BMRI) luncurkan kartu kredit Mandiri World Elite. PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk (BMRI) meluncurkan kartu kredit Mandiri World Elite untuk mendorong peningkatan transaksi khususnya bagi nasabah segmen private banking. Dengan basis nasabah yang bervariasi, Bank Mandiri berkomitmen memberikan layanan prima kepada seluruh nasabah, termasuk di segmen premium. Mandiri World Elite sekaligus sebagai apresiasi atas kepercayaan nasabah private banking. PT Bank Mandiri Tbk akan terus berinovasi dalam layanan kartu kredit, khususnya segmen premium, mengingat segmen ini telah menjadi salah satu fokus bisnis utama perseroan di sektor konsumer sejak 2010. PT Intiland Development Tbk (DILD) megincar marketing sales Rp 2,5 triliun di 2016. PT Intiland Development Tbk (DILD) mengincar angka perolehan pra penjualan (marketing sales) dapat menyentuh Rp 2,5 triliun pada 2016. Atau tumbuh sekitar 10-15% dibandingkan pencapaian di tahun ini. Untuk akhir tahun ini sendiri, DILD ini hanya memperkirakan marketing sales sekitar Rp 1,8 triliun. Artinya, marketing sales tahun ini hanya sebesar 60% dari target perseroan yang sebesar Rp 3 triliun. pencapaian marketing sales yang jauh dibawah target tersebut lantaran pergolakan ekonomi lokal maupun global. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (SMGR) pabrik di rembang akan berproduksi di 2016. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (SMGR) optimistis pabrik semen di Kabupaten Rembang, Jawa Tengah bisa berproduksi pada 2016 karena hingga akhir Desember tahun ini kemajuan pembangunannya mencapai 80%. Pabrik semen di Rembang dengan investasi senilai Rp 4,6 triliun ini bakal berproduksi sekitar 3 juta ton per tahun. Selain itu, kehadiran pabrik semen tersebut juga menaikkan upah buruh karena banyak pekerja menggunakan standar upah harian yang diterapkan. Selain itu, kehadiran pabrik semen tersebut juga menaikkan upah buruh karena banyak pekerja menggunakan standar upah harian yang diterapkan PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. Rembang membutuhkan banyak investasi untuk mendongkrak pertumbuhan ekonomi daerah mengingat kabupaten ini menempati posisi ketiga dari bawah menyangkut jumlah penduduk miskin yang mencapai 22,9%. www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment Page 2 DAILY REPORT Kamis 17 Desember 2015 Today’s Pick Chart ADHI ADRO MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Williams%R uptrend. Mengindikasikan ADHI potensi melanjutkan kenaikannya. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 2.055 dan resistance 2.110. EMA-5 dan MACD uptrend. Candle chart membentuk white candle. Didukung volume beli yang meningkat. Mengindikasikan ADRO potensi naik. Rec : Speculative Buy (SB). Support 486 dan resistance 510. BMRI INTP EMA-5 dan MACD uptrend. RSI diatas 20% dan stochastic diatas 30%. Williams%R uptrend. Candle chart membentuk hammer. Indikasikan BMRI potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 8.825 dan resistance 9.100. MACD uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Williams%R uptrend. Indikasikan INTP potensi naik terbatas. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 20.175 dan resistance 20.650. ITMG JSMR MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Williams%R uptrend. Mengindikasikan ITMG potensi naik terbatas. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 5.675 dan resistance 6.000. EMA-5 dan MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Didukung volume beli meningkat JSMR masih potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 4.730 dan resistance 4.785. www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent Page 3 DAILY REPORT Kamis 17 Desember 2015 NO Stock Closing Rec Target Stop Support Pivot Resistance Price Loss I II I II 1 ASII 6.275 BOW 6.400 6.300 6.100 6.000 6.200 6.300 6.400 2 BBCA 13.475 SOS 13.000 12.500 13.300 13.000 13.500 13.700 13.800 3 BBNI 5.000 SOS 4.500 4.400 4.800 4.500 5.000 5.200 5.300 4 BBRI 11.350 BOW 11.200 11.000 11.000 10.500 11.200 11.300 11.500 5 BMRI 8.950 BOW 9.200 9.000 8.800 8.500 8.900 9.000 9.200 6 GGRM 50.900 BOW 52.000 51.000 49.900 48.500 50.200 51.000 51.500 7 INDF 4.990 SB 5.100 5.000 4.900 4.500 5.000 5.100 5.200 8 SMGR 10.550 BOW 10.700 10.600 10.300 10.000 10.500 10.700 10.900 9 TLKM 3.040 BOW 3.200 3.100 2.900 2.600 3.000 3.100 3.200 Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI 16.200 BOW 17.000 16.500 16.000 15.600 16.300 16.400 16.700 11 BWPT 134 BOW 200 150 130 120 140 150 160 12 LSIP 1.295 BOW 1.400 1.300 1.200 1.000 1.300 1.400 1.500 13 SIMP 344 SOS 300 200 300 200 400 500 600 14 SSMS 1.610 BOW 1.700 1.650 1.500 1.200 1.700 1.800 1.900 Contractor & Property 15 ADHI 2.080 BOW 2.200 2.100 2.000 1.800 2.100 2.200 2.300 16 PTPP 3.780 SOS 3.500 3.200 3.700 3.500 3.800 3.900 4.000 17 WIKA 2.630 SOS 2.500 2.400 2.600 2.300 2.700 2.800 2.900 18 WSKT 1.645 BOW 1.800 1.700 1.600 1.300 1.700 1.800 1.900 24 ASRI 339 BOW 450 400 300 200 400 500 600 25 BSDE 1.660 SOS 1.500 1.400 1.600 1.300 1.700 1.800 1.900 26 CTRA 1.325 SOS 1.000 900 1.300 1.000 1.400 1.500 1.600 27 KIJA 224 BOW 300 250 200 100 300 400 500 28 LPKR 1.135 SOS 1.100 1.000 1.100 1.000 1.200 1.300 1.400 Mining 29 ADRO 492 SB 700 600 400 300 500 600 700 30 ANTM 303 BOW 400 350 200 100 300 400 500 31 INCO 1.545 SOS 1.350 1.300 1.500 1.200 1.600 1.700 1.800 32 ITMG 5.850 BOW 6.000 5.900 5.700 5.500 5.900 6.000 6.100 33 TINS 490 BOW 600 500 400 300 500 600 700 Others 34 BBTN 1.295 BOW 1.400 1.300 1.200 1.000 1.300 1.400 1.500 35 INTP 20.500 BOW 21.000 20.600 20.000 19.700 20.300 20.600 21.000 36 KLBF 1.240 SOS 1.100 1.000 1.200 1.000 1.300 1.400 1.500 37 MPPA 1.650 SOS 1.400 1.200 1.600 1.500 1.700 1.800 1.900 38 PGAS 2.515 BOW 2.600 2.550 2.400 2.200 2.500 2.600 2.700 39 UNTR 15.800 BOW 16.500 16.300 15.300 14.700 15.500 16.000 16.300 40 UNVR 35.350 BOW 36.000 35.500 35.000 34.500 35.500 36.000 36.500 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy Technical Alert MACD Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend RSI Uptrend MFI Uptrend Williams%R Uptrend Stochastic Goldencross Stochastic Uptrend MA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend MFI Uptrend MA-5 Downtrend MA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend MA-5 Downtrend RSI Downtrend MACD Uptrend RSI Uptrend RSI Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Goldencross MFI Downtrend MACD Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend MACD Uptrend MA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend MACD Downtrend RSI Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment Page 4 DAILY REPORT Kamis 17 Desember 2015 Research Team Urip Mulyo Santoso Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext. 411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected] Muhammad Aprilaldo Eka Bani Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext. 166 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected] Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57948790 Ext. 128 Fax :6221 - 57944242 Email :[email protected] Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57944266 Ext. 463 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :[email protected] Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :[email protected] Wayan Sudiantara Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :[email protected] www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent Page 5