Daily Snapshot CPAM World Flash JP: Japan Manufacturing PMI untuk Desember naik ke 52.4 dibandingkan bulan sebelumnya sebesar 51.9. 52.4 Wednesday, January 04, 2017 Market review Perdagangan terakhir IHSG ditutup turun 20.7 poin (-0.4%) ke level 5,276.0. Pelemahan IHSG didorong oleh agribisnis, aneka industri, dan perdagangan. Sementara itu, Indeks LQ45 juga mencatat penurunan 1.4 poin (-0.2%) ke level 883.2. Dari pasar obligasi, imbal hasil SUN dengan tenor 10 tahun turun sebesar 2.2bps menjadi 7.95%. Rupiah kembali mengalami pelemahan sebesar 3 poin ke level Rp13,476 per dolar AS. 54.3 US: US Manufacturing PMI untuk December naik ke 54.3 dibandingkan bulan sebelumnya sebesar 54.2. 3.02 % ID: CPI untuk bulan Desember turun ke 3.02% YoY dibandingkan bulan sebelumnya sebesar 3.58% YoY. News of the day Optimisme pemerintah terhadap fundamental perekonomian Indonesia paralel dengan prospek positif yang disematkan oleh lembaga ke uangan dan manajer investasi asing. Persepsi asing itu mengafirmasi keyakinan Sri Mulyani Indrawati yang memperkirakan pertumbuhan ekonomi 2016 mencapai 5%, lebih baik dari tahun sebelumnya 4.8%. Realisasi belanja negara yang mencapai Rp1,859.45 triliun atau 89.3% dari target APBN Perubahan 2016 ikut menyelamatkan angka defisit anggaran Jumlah ekspor sepeda motor hingga November 2016. tahun lalu, meskipun penerimaan negara hanya mencapai 86.9% dari target. Realisasi defisit anggaran 2016 diprediksi mencapai Rp307.7 triliun atau 2.46% dari PDB. CIMB-Principal fund products Pertumbuhan kapitalisasi pasar Bursa Efek Indonesia diharapkan berjalan seiring dengan pertambahan jumlah emiten di pasar saham. Pada tahun ini, BEI menargetkan jumlah emiten baru bertambah 35 perusahaan dari posisi akhir 2016 sebanyak 540 emiten. Fund Name NAB 1D (%) YTD (%) 895.4 (1.02) 8.13 3,240.7 0.00 14.20 999.6 (0.88) 12.70 CIMB-P Balanced Strategic P 1,221.3 0.00 12.25 CIMB-P Equity Gr. Syariah 1,491.1 0.00 10.11 CIMB-P Balanced Gr. Syariah 1,073.1 0.00 12.90 CIMB-P IDX-30 1,270.0 0.00 13.71 CIMB-P Dollar Bond 1.0498 1.10 0.14 CIMB-P Income Fund A 2,111.0 0.08 6.37 CIMB-P Cash Fund 1,297.4 0.00 6.76 CIMB-P Islamic AP Equity Sy 0.9301 0.00 NA CIMB-P Indo Domestic CIMB-P Equity Aggressive CIMB-P SMART Source: Bloomberg Numbers of the day Tantangan pengelolaan inflasi pada 2017 dinilai lebih berat. Harga-harga bahan pangan yang bergejolak pada tahun lalu diperkirakan merembet hingga tahun ini. Kondisi itu dibarengi dengan ketidakpastian penurunan harga barang yang diatur pemerintah. 257,234 Unit 32.6 Tn Rupiah realisasi dana talangan pengadaan lahan jalan tol. 0.75% -77M + Kenaikan EIDO pada Selasa (03/01) di Bursa AS. Adalah jumlah net foreign sell pada IHSG Selasa (03/01). 1 Macroeconomic Data Indonesia Sectors JCI Leaders & Laggards (point) Price % 1D % 1M % YTD JII 691.5 -0.4% -1.7% 14.6% 6.8 LQ45 883.2 -0.2% 0.3% 11.5% 4.0 5.1 JAKFIN Index 809.8 -0.3% 5.2% 17.9% -4.4 -3.2 7.5 7.5 JAKINFR Index 1,053.8 -0.2% 0.4% 7.4% -2.8 HMSP PGAS ASII MYOR JAKMINE Index 1,392.7 0.6% -2.1% 71.7% -2.8 TLKM ADRO 1.3 JAKCONS Index 2,314.7 -0.4% -2.8% 12.1% CPIN 2Q16 1Q16 4Q15 3Q15 Real GDP (YoY %) 5.2 4.9 5.0 4.7 Head. CPI (YoY %) 3.5 4.5 3.4 Core CPI (YoY %) 3.5 3.5 BI Rate (%) 6.5 6.8 Market Data Transaction Value (IDR jt) 2,839.8 JAKTRAD Index 853.6 -0.8% 1.0% 0.5% Market Cap (IDR tr) 5,730.1 JAKMIND Index 1,357.2 -1.0% 3.3% 28.4% 14.5 JAKBIND Index 537.5 -0.1% -0.3% 31.8% Forward Market P/BV (x) 2.2 JAKPROP Index 514.6 -0.6% -3.4% 4.8% 10Y Gov't Bond Yield (%) 8.0 JAKAGRI Index 1,842.8 -1.1% -0.8% 7.2% Forward Market P/E (x) -5.9 BMRI BBCA NISP BBRI 6.2 5.1 2.7 2.2 -1.6 INDF -1.3 BTEK PWON 0.8 0.7 -1.2 MIKA DNET 0.7 -1.1 GGRM JPFA BJBR PTBA 0.6 -1.0 0.6 +/- point on index World Indices JCI (ID) ISSI (ID) EIDO (US) Commodities Price % 1D % 1M % YTD 5,276.0 -0.4% 0.6% 14.9% CRB Index 171.4 -0.4% -1.1% 18.1% Crude Oil (USD/bbl) Currencies Price % 1D % 1M % YTD Vs. USD Rate % 1D % YTD 190.1 -1.2% -0.8% 7.9% USDEUR 0.9611 0.5% 4.4% 55.5 -2.4% 1.9% 48.8% USDGBP 0.8172 0.3% 20.4% 1.0274 0.4% 2.5% 3.3 -10.7% -3.2% 42.4% USDCHF Coal (AUS Daily) 90.5 2.4% 3.5% 78.9% USDCAD 1.3427 -0.1% -3.0% Coal (Rotterdam) 82.5 -8.5% -1.9% 73.9% USDAUD 1.3851 -0.5% 0.9% Alumunium (tonne) 1,688.0 -0.4% -1.7% 12.1% USDNZD 1.4457 0.1% -1.3% Nickel (USD/tonne) 9,910 -1.1% -13.5% 12.4% USDRUB 60.917 -0.4% -16.0% 117.75 0.2% -2.1% 24.3 0.7% 1.7% 16.5% Natural Gas DJI (US) 19,881.8 0.6% 3.7% 14.1% UKX (UK) 7,177.9 0.5% 6.6% 15.0% DAX (GR) 11,584 -0.1% 10.2% 7.8% Nikkei (JP) 19,114 0.0% 3.7% 0.4% 22,150.4 0.7% -1.8% 1.1% Tin (USD/tonne) 20,975 -0.7% -0.2% 44.1% USDJPY Kospi (KR) 2,044.0 0.9% 3.7% 4.2% Gold (USD/t oz.) 1,162.0 0.9% -1.1% 9.6% USDCNY 6.9640 0.3% 7.2% STI (SG) 2,899.0 0.6% -0.7% 0.6% Silver (USD/t oz.) 16.4 2.6% -2.1% 18.9% USDHKD 7.7564 0.0% 0.1% KLCI (MY) 1,635.5 -0.4% 0.4% -3.4% CPO (USD/tonne) 3,250.0 1.0% 4.2% 35.5% USDSGD 1.4503 0.0% 2.2% SET (TH) 1,542.9 0.0% 2.7% 19.8% Rubber (JPY/kg) 262.0 0.0% 18.6% 77.9% USDIDR 13,476 0.0% -2.3% Hang Seng (HK) Source: Bloomberg 2 IMPORTANT NOTICE This presentation has been prepared by CIMB-Principal Asset Management exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the recipient in order to indicate, on a preliminary basis, the feasibility of possible transactions. 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